Estee Cheap Michael Kors Bags UK lauder
cakes on growth in china but stock is usually
Makes premium stretch
mark, foundation make up, fragrances and hair care products and sells them
through upscale retail stores, perfumeries, and respect salons and spas.These
formats spotlight exclusivity, which helps defines them as luxury beauty and
personal maintenance systems.With redundancy levels still hovering at historical
high levels of close to 9.8%(As of late 2010)And europe affected by possible
default of sovereign debt by portugal, ireland in europe, greece and spain and
low industrial output growth at around 2% both which causes a devaluing euro,
creates a tough community for a brand that appeals to the luxury segment like
estee lauder.In saying that though, recent data points have turned encouraging,
and we are seeing signs that confidence and spending picked up over xmas
season.Consumer spending is likely to help estee lauder, we feel the true engine
of growth will come from abroad and from china specifically.
Jim oberweis
had leads buy aruba networks(Arun)For $11.73 and Cirrus common sense(Crus)When
$6.82 last feb.Both are up across 100%.Lulu regarded as a double, a touch as
well,
China's owner class growing rapidly
China's economy has
been growing in double digits during the last decade.Based on bain's"2009 China
corporate Wealth Study, The quantity of Chinese high net http://www.ferragudo.co.uk/drawstring-bags.html
worth individuals(Those using more than 10 million rmb or $1.5 million)Is
predicted to grow by 6% year on year.[1] But the Chinese aren't just attaining
more, But spending amply as well.On your, over a thousand chinese tourists spent
over $7 billion on luxury products in 2010.
Our optimism for estee lauder
is however based on the fact that while the asian consumer is definitely a
patron of skin care products, men's skin care products have recently struck it
big with the chinese male and this presents an excellent chance for growth to
estee lauder.Not only is the chinese men's skincare market touted to reach $270
million in 2011, exceeding the us at $227 million, it is also supposed to grow
at 29% year on year through 2014, compared to the united states at 5.7% and the
world at 7.9%.[1] Skin care makes up over half of our $53 Trefis price estimate
of Estee lauder's stock.
Given the rising affluence of the chinese and
their preference for luxury cosmetics in the chinese male getting increasingly
involved in skin care, we see a time frame for estee lauder.
Right now we
estimate estee lauder's share of the global skin care market to grow from 6.2%
in 2010 to positively $6.7% in 2012 eventually reaching 7% towards the end of
our forecast period.And yet, the chinese skin care market dynamics make us feel
estee lauder could reasonably gain 7.2% by 2012 and eventually touch 8% in in
the future, For around 6% potential upside to our current Trefis price estimate
of its stock.
The above assumes a better focus on chinese markets http://www.ferragudo.co.uk/ in terms
of a more customized product offering, and media and advertising assuming no
changes in the federal government policy.To date, china slaps big customs duties
on imported products, commonly branded consumer goods, which end up making them
almost 50% dearer than those to be found in overseas markets.
While this
does not deter the chinese tourist who is abroad on a shopping spree, it does
adversely impact the sales of luxury products within china besides causing a
loss to chinese national tax revenues.While chinese products are all around the
world, such taxation has lead to china's trade surplus being close to $196
billion in 2009.What increases it is likely that this is the fact that more
imports into china will ease deficit pressures on foreign countries and also
contribute to china's tax revenues since lower retail prices of popular foreign
brands in china will stimulate greater consumption of these brands.
If
china thought we would relax its customs duties, this you could end up estee
lauder gaining close to 8% market share of global skin care by Cheap
Michael Kors Bags Sale 2012.If this trend persisted and estee lauder
secured 9.25% share of the market by the end of our forecast period, This may
lead to 15% potential upside to our current $53 Trefis price estimate of its
stock.And yet, heightened competition in chinese skin care market in such an
event would warrant increased spending on marketing communications by all
players, which could erode away the ebitda margins temporarily(2011 13), But a
significant upside is almost undeniable.
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